3 Best Prop Bets for Commanders vs Eagles for MNF Week 10
By Jerry Trotta
The 4-5 Washington Commanders are about to face their biggest test of the season against the 8-0 Philadelphia Eagles. While the Eagles are in pole position to secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, the Commanders are in danger of falling multiple games out of the final Wild Card spot in the NFC.
With that in mind, it’s no surprise the Commanders opened as a double-digit road underdog for Monday Night Football. Despite the odds being stacked against Washington, we like some odds favoring Ron Rivera’s group this week.
3 best prop bets for Commanders vs Eagles on MNF
3. Eagles to win by 7-12 points (+400)
Does anyone out there really not expect the Eagles to win by at least a touchdown? In our betting preview earlier this week, we predicted Washington to barely cover the spread (+10.5) by losing 27-17. As much as we’re manifesting a Commanders win in spirit, it’s impossible to ignore the fact that Philly is an elite team.
With the Chiefs and Bills leaking oil in recent weeks, the Eagles are suddenly in contention for the league’s best team. Nick Sirianni’s side doesn’t necessarily deserve the benefit of the doubt yet — look at who they have (or haven’t) beaten — but you’d be hard-pressed to find a more talented roster top to bottom.
The Eagles have won 8 of their last 10 games vs Washington. We expect that trend to continue with Philly winning by at least a touchdown.
2. Commanders +10.5 and under 43.5 points scored (+215)
Everyone and their mother is expecting a blowout. That notion was only amplified after Washington (through Dan Snyder) used the Brian Robinson Jr. shooting as a shield to deflect from a pending investigation. Players are unhappy, and rightly so, and fans are worried how it might impact their game prep.
The Commanders played the Eagles tough in Week 3, though. The scoreline just appears lopsided because the offense couldn’t get anything going. Facing unrelenting pressure, Carson Wentz capitulated and the offense sputtered. Save a few explosive plays, the defense held up its end of the bargain.
Look for Washington cover the +10.5 spread. As for the under, these teams combined for 32 points the last time they played. This won’t be a barnburner.
1. Commanders over 1.5 total touchdowns (-136)
The Commanders only managed eight points the last time they played Philadelphia. We’re not expecting Taylor Heinicke to light up the Eagles’ elite secondary, but more than one touchdown — even if it comes in garbage time — is doable, especially after the lowly Texans mustered 17 points vs this defense in Week 9.
As long as Heinicke keeps his composure, unlike Wentz in the team’s first meeting, Washington should put up points. This Eagles defense is beatable. In four of their last five games, Philly’s allowed at least 17 points, and the only time they allowed fewer than 17 came against the Steelers, who have a quarterback in Kenny Pickett who might be one-and-done in terms of starting in the NFL.
If the Commanders can’t rack up more than one touchdown in primetime, this team has a lot more problems than we thought.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.