Sep 20, 2015; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins running back Alfred Morris (46) carries the ball against the St. Louis Rams during the first half at FedEx Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
The Washington Redskins beat the Philadelphia Eagles late in the 2014 season to knock them out of the playoffs. Even before that game, the Eagles were not playing well and have looked even worse in 2015. The Eagles won their first game of the season last week at the New York Jets.
The Redskins did not look good last week when they were in New York versus the Giants, losing 32-21. The Giants were able to take the Redskins away from their successful running game and force Kirk Cousins to win the game and he was unable to. I expect the Redskins to establish the run this week versus the Eagles.
Currently, the Eagles are favored by 3 points. At that number, I would make the Redskins a low to moderate pick versus the spread. If the spread increases to 3.5 or even 4 points, the Redskins will be a moderate to good pick. So either way, take the Redskins over the Eagles.
Redskins -3 over the Eagles
The Cincinnati Bengals were my best bet of the week in Baltimore against the Ravens last week. They covered but made it interesting in the second half before winning, 28-24. The Bengals should not have been an underdog to a depleted Ravens team even in Baltimore.
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a loss in Green Bay on Monday night last week. They were beaten badly by the Packers but came back late to make it only a ten point loss at 38-28. Now the Cheifs have to travel again and on a short week to Cincinnati.
The Chiefs have lost a starting CB and two games in a row since their opening week victory in Houston. I don’t see the Chiefs being able to make it a close game versus the powerful Bengals. The Chiefs will have faced three of the top five teams in the NFL with the Broncos, Packers and Bengals and I expect them to lose their third straight game.
Best Bet of the Week
Bengals -3 over the Chiefs
There are a few other games that I view as top bets. The Denver Broncos will host Minnesota and are currently 6.5 point favorites.The Broncos have covered and won by seven or more points on 21 of their last 25 home games and 38 out of 51 overall with Peyton Manning at quarterback.
Minnesota has played well over the past two weeks at home, beating the Lions and the Chargers. The Broncos defense will shut them down and Manning will score enough with the Broncos offense to cover the current spread. Take the Broncos -6.5.
Broncos -6.5 over Minnesota
The Arizona Cardinals have been a top bet of mine every week of the 2015 season. They were also my Best Bet of the Week in weeks one and two. The Cardinals have looked dominant with big wins over the Bears and 49ers in Arizona the past two weeks.
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The St. Louis Rams beat the Seattle Seahawks in week one but have not played well over the last two weeks. The Rams offense has put up only 16 points combined versus the Redskins and Steelers. Now they face one of the best defenses in the NFL with the Cardinals. Take Arizona -6.5.
Cardinals-6.5 over the Rams
The Buffalo Bills have been one of the surprise teams of the 2015 season. They are not a surprise to me however as I have picked them to win every week except againts the Patriots when I correctly picked New England to win on a top bet. The Bills are at home versus the New York Giants this week.
The Giants are coming off a Thursday night victory over the Redskins last week. They have had ten days rest and are underdogs by 6 points. Although six points is a lot to give up versus a good team, I expect the Bills to cover. They are a top bet but just barely made it as I was hoping the spread would drop some but only went down to 5.5 and then returned to -6.
Bills -6 over the Giants
I am giving you an unprecedented five top picks this week. The Dallas Cowboys are missing their top two players in Tony Romo and Dez Bryant. They travel to New Orleans to face the Saints who should have their starting quarterback return to their lineup.
The Saints have lost six straight home games going back to the 2014 season and are 3-9 overall in their past 12 games. The Cowboys have been a dominant team on the road with an 8-0 record in 2014 and a victory in Phiadelphia two weeks ago.
Take the Cowboys, even without Romo and Bryant but wait to get the best number as the spread will rise before game time. I am not overly confidant about this game as a top bet but if I win most of the earlier games, this would be a perfect game to roll over some of the winnings with it being the Sunday night game.
Cowboys +3 over the Saints
I also like the Texans, Panthers and Chargers to a lesser degree. I went 3-2 last week on my Top Bets and 8-4 overall. For the season, I am 3-0 on Best Bets, 9-3 on Top Bets and 22-6-2 overall.
I only went 4-3 with college football on Saturday but I doubled my bet on Oregon at halftime and ended with a good day. My college record is 11-7 for the season. Follow me on twitter @westcoast_skins for updates on my bets and for my Monday Night Football pick. Good luck to everyone!