Redskins and Beating the Book


Sep 24, 2015; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; Washington Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins (8) hands off the ball to Washington Redskins running back Alfred Morris (46) during first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Redskins didn’t play very well on Thursday night versus the New Yoek Giants. It should have been an obvious bet on the Giants but I instead made the pick on the Redskins. It is important as a bettor to know where you went wrong so you can correct it.

The Redskins loss to the Giants was my first loss of the season among my Top Bets. I am still 2-0 on my Best Bets of the Week however. On total NFL plays that I have made, my record is 14-3-1. If you are following me on twitter then you know that I pulled away from the Ravens over the Raiders and advised to roll winnings into the Packers over the Seahawks in the night game on Sunday.

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The Redskins bet was a bad choice for many reasons including the short week on the road and the game being a Thursday night game in which the Redskins have been historically bad. It also was close to a must win game for the Giants. I think the Redskins will rebound with a long week to prepare for the Eagles but it will be up to Jay Gruden and the Redskins coaching staff to use that time wisely.

As for this week, I have a few picks to make for Sunday. The Cincinnati Bengals travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens. The Bengals are a much more talented team than the Ravens and have played that way so far in 2015. The Ravens are in a must win position themselves in their first home game of the season.

Despite the greater motivation for the Ravens, they do not match up well versus the physically superior Bengals. The Ravens lost their defensive leader, Terrell Suggs for the season and traded Haloti Ngata in the offseason and their defense is not dominant like it once was. Getting three points when they are obviously the better team makes the Bengals my Best Bet of the Week.

Best Bet of the Week

Bengals +3 over the Ravens

The Cleveland Browns host the Oakland Raiders and are three point favorites. I like the Browns at home versus the Raiders in a match-up of two teams that are not real contenders. I usually do not like to make a lesser team a Top Bet but since they are facing another lesser team in the Raiders, I will.

Josh McCown replaces Johnny Manziel and I do worry that that may throw them off some. I did like the Browns last week over the Titans but didn’t make them a pick because I wanted to see them perform well first. The spread has dropped to the Browns -3 and that is enough to make it a Top Bet.

Browns -3 over the Raiders

The Buffalo Bills travel to Miami to face the Dolphins. The Bills have been the better team over the first two weeks. They also have played well in Miami in the past. Rex Ryan in fact did not lose by three points or more in the past five meetings his New York Jets played in Miami.

It would be perfect if the spread rises to three points before kickoff time in this late game. That makes this game the perfect rollover game to roll your winnings into or make up for an early game loss. Wait to see if you can get the Bills +3 but if not they are still one of my Top Bets.

Bills +2.5 over the Dolphins

Last night, the Steelers went up to 3.5 point favorites over the St. Louis Rams. I quickly made a play on the Rams +3.5. The spread is currently back to Steelers -1 and I will still recommend a small play on it but I could also see the Steelers winning this game with LeVeon Bell returning.

The San Diego Chargers have to travel across half the country for the second straight week. They lost to the Bengals in Cincinnati last week and travel to Minnesota this week. Although I think the Chargers are the superior team to Minnesota, I think the travel may be too much for them. Take Minnesota -1 over San Diego.

There are other games that I like at certain numbers but not too much at the current lines. I like the Eagles at +3 but not too much at +2. I like the New Orleans Saints if the spread rises to +10 versus the Carolina Panthers.

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I like the Indianapolis Colts at -3 but that spread has risen to 4 and I’m still not sure if the Colts can solve their offensive line problems before they face the Tennessee Titans. The Colts record over the Titans makes that game enticing either way.

If the Dallas Cowboys are three point underdogs at home versus the Atlanta Falcons, I would also make a small play on them. Currently the Falcons are 2.5 point favorites. I like the Arizona Cardinals at -6, with them being a defensive team. They are currently 6.5 point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers and I may play them at that number anyway.

The Seattle Seahawks are heavy favorites over the Chicago Bears and rightly so. At -14, I like the Seahawks but as a rule, I don’t give over 14 points and the spread is currently 14.5. The Seahawks should blow out the Bears who are hurting. This is a must win game for the Seahawks who have something to prove.

Remember to follow me on twitter @westcoast_skins for updates. I will also start tweeting out my college football picks. This week, I won with Florida, Navy, Nevada, Marshall, Mississippi State and USC and lost with Missouri. That makes me 7-2 on college plays after I went 1-1 last week.

Good luck to everyone!

Next: Redskins-Giants: Beating the Book