Best and worst case scenarios for the Commanders 2024 draft picks

Jayden Daniels - Commanders QB

Best-case scenario

We all want to see a completion percentage in the mid-60 range for new Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels. If the No. 2 overall selection in the 2024 NFL Draft can also attain a passer rating pushing 90, and at least a 2-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio, it would vindicate those in power following strenuous pre-draft assessments regarding the top prospects emerging from the college ranks.

But two primary numbers will define a great season for Daniels. Individually, a sack percentage under six percent will indicate he is comfortable with the speed and complexity of the NFL. Most importantly, a ten-win season will prove the team chose a winning leader heading down the road. Someone who could potentially spearhead a playoff push or better in the coming years.

Worst-case scenario

I’ve said this before. The worst scenario for Daniels is not playing backup to Marcus Mariota for part or even all of the 2024 season. The worst-case scenario is the Zach Wilson effect.

That means forcing him onto the field when he is not ready.  Again, look at the sack percentage as the primary factor behind this important element of the Commanders' equation with their new prized possession - the Heisman Trophy winner out of LSU.

Wilson had a sack percentage over 10 during his rookie season. So did last year's No. 1 pick Bryce Young during his disastrous rookie campaign that already has some in the media writing him off without the right context attached.

And look at touchdowns. Daniels has to generate points, even if he completes a low percentage and throws a lot of picks. Fewer than 20 scores and a sack rate over 10 would be very bad signs if he is the starter in his rookie season.

Hopefully, it won't come to that. And of course, the instant gratification we live in dictates Daniels will be under center when the regular season commences.