Bears vs. Commanders prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 5

How to bet on the total in the Bears-Commanders matchup in Week 5.

Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell (14).
Washington Commanders quarterback Sam Howell (14). / Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Commanders nearly pulled off an upset win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 4, but they ended up losing in overtime. 

Now, the team has to shake off that loss and return on a short week to play the hapless Chicago Bears. Chicago is now 0-4 on the season after blowing a 28-7 lead at home against the Denver Broncos in Week 4. 

This is a perfect spot for Ron Rivera’s club to get back in the win column and the NFC wild card picture after a pair of tough games against the Eagles and Buffalo Bills. The Commanders are 2-0 against inferior opponents this season, and they have the benefit of playing at home in this matchup. 

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Bears vs. Commanders odds, spread and total for NFL Week 5

Bears vs. Commanders betting trends

  • The Bears are 0-3-1 against the spread this season.
  • Chicago hasn’t won a game since October of last season. 
  • The Commanders are 2-2 against the spread this season.
  • The OVER is 4-0 in Chicago’s four games.
  • The OVER is 2-2 in Washington’s four games.

Bears vs. Commanders injury reports

Chicago Bears injury report

  • Jaylon Johnson – questionable
  • Eddie Jackson – questionable

Washington Commanders injury report

  • Jahan Dotson – questionable
  • Curtis Samuel – questionable
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. – questionable
  • Christian Holmes – questionable

Bears vs. Commanders how to watch

  • Date: Thursday, Oct. 5
  • Game Time: 8:15 p.m. EST
  • Venue: FedEx Field
  • How to Watch (TV): Amazon Prime
  • Chicago Bears Record: 0-4
  • Washington Commanders Record: 2-2

Bears vs. Commanders key players to watch

Chicago Bears

Khalil Herbert: The Bears running back finally got extended touches in Week 4, and he dominated. Herbert had 103 rushing yards on 18 carries while catching four passes for 19 yards and a score. It was his first game this season with double-digit carries, and he could thrive against a Washington defense that allows the eighth-most yards per carry this season.

Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin: McLaurin is coming off arguably his best game of the season – making eight catches for 86 yards in the loss to Philly. With Dotson and Samuel both banged up, McLaurin could have a massive target day against one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. 

Sam Howell: It’s been an up-and-down start to the season for Sam Howell, but this is a perfect “get right” spot for him against a bad defense. He needs to lead Washington to a win in this game.  

Bears vs. Commanders prediction and pick

This is a lot of points to lay with the Commanders in a short week, so instead I’m going to look at the total in this matchup. 

The Bears have been an over machine (it has hit in every game this season), not because of their offense, but because they cannot stop anyone this season. 

Chicago ranks 31st in opponent yards per play and opponent net yards per pass attempt this season. The Bears have also given up 72 points over the last two weeks, including 31 to a terrible Denver team. 

Howell and the Commanders should be able to score at will in this matchup, but I also have a concern with the Washington defense. 

The team is allowing the eighth-most yards per carry this season, which sets up well for a Chicago team that has run the ball effectively, ranking No. 5 in the league in yards per carry. 

I think both of these defenses are beatable, so why not sit back and root for points on Thursday night? 

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's betting record here.