The Washington Commanders have a gigantic matchup against the New York Giants this weekend at MetLife Stadium. Not only is this a huge NFC East rivalry game, but both teams are currently in the playoffs as NFC wildcard teams, and fighting to keep their spots.
A win over the upstart Giants would see the Commanders jump to the No. 6 seed; giving them extra cushion for the stretch run. Both teams would have the same record, but Washington would have the edge due to head-to-head record.
It’d be a soaring understatement to say Washington and New York have engaged in some wild games over the years.
Look no further than last season when Washington escaped with a win at FedEx Field thanks to a Dexter Lawrence offside penalty on a Dustin Hopkins field goal. Hopkins missed the initial kick, but redeemed himself on his second attempt to give Washington the win.
Fans could be in for another crazy game on Sunday, and I’ve come up with three bold predictions for a matchups that never disappoints.
3 bold predictions for Commanders vs NY Giants in Week 13
1. Commanders hold Giants RB Saquon Barkley under 50 yards from scrimmage.
Saquon Barkley has been the main reason the Giants have won a majority of their games this season, and it shows on the stat sheet. Barkley was held to under 55 rushing yards in three of the Giants’ four losses this season. Conversely, they have a record of 7-1 when he rushes for 70 or more yards on the ground.
The Commanders’ defensive line has played their best this season, and lived up to the hype of their draft pick status even without Chase Young. Washington allows 108 rushing yards per game, and has held the Cowboys, Texans, Vikings, Packers, and the Eagles (twice) under 100 rushing this season.
Saquon has been going through a cold streak of 22 yards, and 39 yards on the ground the last two weeks, and the Commanders’ defensive line will keep that streak going to the tune of limiting him to less than 50 yards from scrimmage.
2. Commanders’ RB Brian Robinson Jr has career day … again.
Rookie Brian Robinson Jr. was the difference maker in the Commanders 19-13 win over the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday with his first career 100-yard rushing game. Robinson has slowly been knocking the rust off from his return after missing the first four games of the season after he was shot twice in an attempted armed robbery.
Washington has leaned heavy on the run game recently, averaging a whopping 42 rushing attempts per game the last three weeks. The Giants come into the matchup allowing 139 rushing yards per game (seventh-most in the NFL), and the second-highest yards per carry average at 5.2 yards.
Additionally, their 3.15 yards allowed before contact per rush is third-worst in the league, and their 3.01 yards after contact is fourth-worst. My prediction for Robinson on Sunday is 125 rushing yards with two touchdowns.
3. Commanders beat the Giants by 10+ points.
Yes I’m drinking the Kool-Aid and riding the same momentum as the team. Washington is 6-1 in it’s last seven games, and the matchup favors Washington with how they’ve won their games recently.
The Commanders want to run the ball at will against opponents, and control the game. As I stated above, the Giants have been struggling with their run defense, and are likely to let Washington stick to their gameplay that has come with a lot of success.
New York got blown out by the Lions 31-18 two weeks ago, and allowed 160 yards on the ground with all four touchdowns coming on the ground by Jamaal Williams, and D’Andre Swift. Washington’s defense, meanwhile, has forced seven turnovers the last three games, and Daniel Jones is liable to add to the count. The Giants momentum will continue cooling off, while the Commanders stay red hot behind a hungry defense, and a run game clicking on all cylinders.
Washington Commanders: 27
New York Giants: 17