The Washington Commanders will look to make it two wins in a row this weekend against the surprisingly reeling Green Bay Packers.
Despite coming off back-to-back losses to the upstart Giants and Jets, respectively, the Packers opened as -5.5 favorites for the game. While you can’t count out any team that has Aaron Rodgers under center, this isn’t the same old Packers.
Uncharacteristically, the Pack’s passing offense has been out of sync, which underlines how much Rodgers misses Davante Adams. In fact, Rodgers has just nine touchdowns in six games and he’s just one interception away from matching his total for all of last season (four) when he won his second consecutive MVP award.
The blueprint is there for the Commanders to pull off the “upset,” but let’s take a look at some of our favorite prop bets for Sunday’s matchup at FedEx Field.
3 best prop bets for Commanders vs Packers in Week 7
3. Both teams to complete first pass attempt (-112)
If there’s one thing all offensive coordinators have in common, it’s that they script opening drives. More often than not they’ll call a running play to set a physical tone for the game. Whenever the first pass play is dialed up, though it’s usually something simple to get a quarterback’s confidence going.
With Taylor Heinicke making his first start of the season, look for the Commanders to do something similar; perhaps a screen or bubble route to Curtis Samuel, a quick slant to Terry McLaurin or a quick come-backer to a tight end.
On the other side, Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur give us ample confidence the Packers will complete their first pass attempt. The best part about this bet? You’ll know if it hits early in the game, so you won’t have to sweat it out.
2. Antonio Gibson anytime TD scorer (+290)
This is where we make up the odds. While Brian Robinson has established himself as Washington’s lead back, Ron Rivera acknowledged after Week 6 that the coaching staff needs to do a better job getting Gibson involved earlier.
Gibson was barely involved in the first half, but he sparked the offense with some big runs coming out of halftime and finished with 35 yards on just five carries. Robinson might be preferred on the goal line but the Packers have been gashed against the run so we like Gibson to find the end zone from 15-20 yards on Sunday.
At +290, Gibson is fourth on the Commanders in touchdown odds.
1. Terry McLaurin first TD scorer (+1200)
Anyone else think Washington’s offense will be better with Heinicke pulling the strings? Maybe the thinking is Heinicke can’t be any worse than Wentz, but McLaurin posted 1,053 yards and five touchdowns catching spirals from Heinicke in 2021. For context, McLaurin has just 367 yards and one score in six games with Wentz.
Whereas Wentz and McLaurin are still formulating their chemistry, Heinicke and McLaurin already have 15 games together. More importantly, McLaurin carved up the Packers secondary with Heinicke throwing his way last season to the tune of seven catches on 12 (!) targets for 122 yards and a touchdown.
At +1200 you just have to bet $100 to win $1,200 for McLaurin to be the game’s initial touchdown scorer. How can you pass that up?
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.