Washington Football Team: Dwayne Haskins and the fallacy of elite college productivity

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CLEVELAND, OHIO – SEPTEMBER 27: Dwayne Haskins #7 of the Washington Football Team looks on prior to the game against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on September 27, 2020 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

Dwayne Haskins proved that college productivity doesn’t always equal NFL results.

I’ve been out of touch for a couple of days. Has anything big happened with the Washington Football Team?

OK, this is not about Dwayne Haskins. You’re probably tired of reading about him. After all, there is still a division to win.

OK, I lied. It kind of is about Dwayne Haskins. But it only uses the Haskins case as an example of something bigger.

As I’m sure you know, the three biggest mysteries currently plaguing mankind are the identity of Jack the Ripper, the meaning of the Phaistos Disc, and why the hell NFL scouts can’t do a better job evaluating quarterback prospects. I don’t pretend to have the answer to the quarterback conundrum, but I do want to offer one small piece of the puzzle that I think deserves more attention.

I think it is important to consider the quality of the prospect’s college teammates when considering his professional potential. I call this potential pitfall the fallacy of elite college productivity. Catchy, right?

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