Redskins outcome probabilities at No. 2 overall in the 2020 NFL Draft
By Ian Cummings
No. 1 – Ohio State EDGE Chase Young
Probability: 85 percent
You may have seen this coming.
Some will have the percentage even higher. This far out, I’m skeptical to give any match outside of Joe Burrow and Cincinnati more than 90 percent, but there is legitimate merit to the potential union of the Washington Redskins and Ohio State edge rusher Chase Young.
In my opinion, Young is as good as they say he is, for those who might doubt the notion (Doubting, of course, is a smart thing to do, in today’s informational climate. Never take my word, or anyone’s word, on its own). Young has elite athleticism to couple with an imposing 6-foot-5, 265-pound frame, and he has the speed-to-power ability and technical understanding to win hand-to-hand battles in the trenches. The term generational talent gets thrown around every year, deflating the value of the phrase, but Young, in a rare turn of events, actually qualifies.
Jack Del Rio, believe it or not, has a track record in this kind of situation. Del Rio was part of a staff that picked Von Miller in Denver, and he was the head coach of the Raiders when they selected Khalil Mack. He also had a stint with the Panthers a while back, and played a hand in them selecting Julius Peppers.
Del Rio has an affinity for elite pass rushers; they’re an integral part of any defense. And in the 2020 NFL Draft, Del Rio and the Redskins have a chance to acquire their version of Miller and Mack. With Ryan Kerrigan turning 32 this offseason, this seems like a foregone conclusion. But we’ll stop at 85 percent.
As you might have noticed, these probabilities add up to 99.99 percent. While we can compose a list of likely scenarios, we can never understand the sheer voluminosity of the probability pool. There will always be countless outcomes to consider in the NFL. When someone says it’s “100 percent”, it never is.