Redskins outcome probabilities at No. 2 overall in the 2020 NFL Draft

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NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – JANUARY 13: Joe Burrow #9 of the LSU Tigers reacts to a touchdown against Clemson Tigers during the third quarter in the College Football Playoff National Championship game at Mercedes Benz Superdome on January 13, 2020 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

No. 6 – LSU QB Joe Burrow

Probability: 0.04 percent

Whether you want to accept it or not, there is indeed a *chance* that the Redskins pick LSU quarterback and Heisman trophy winner Joe Burrow at No. 2 overall. But that’s not saying much.

This possibility is unlikely, as you can see, and that’s because it involves two very distinct happenings to occur prior. First, the Bengals must pass on Burrow with the No. 1 overall pick, which is borderline blasphemy, and then the Redskins must decide that restarting at quarterback, and passing up a chance to strengthen a squad around a signal caller, is better than sticking with Dwayne Haskins, who showed growth on the tail end of Year 1. They must convince themselves that Joe Burrow is good enough to undermine all of the progress made with Haskins.

You can probably see why the probability is so low now.

Neither decision requires a reasonable thought process from either party. The Bengals would be foolish to pass up an opportunity to replace Andy Dalton with one of the most exciting QB prospects to hit the market since Andrew Luck. And I don’t think it would be in the Redskins best interests to give up on Haskins this early, especially when there’s reason to do the opposite.

Both of these teams have been foolish before, but there’s reason to believe things are changing, at least in Washington, where Ron Rivera is now the top football authority, and Kyle Smith, a stellar talent evaluator, is now the team’s vice president of player personnel. Rivera and offensive coordinator Scott Turner are on the record saying they like Haskins and are impressed by his progress, and even in a time of year filled with smoke screens, that counts for something.

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