5 bold predictions for Redskins vs. Ravens in preseason Week 3
2. No running back averages over 3.5 yards per carry
This may seem outlandish, as it only takes one long run for an average to be skewed. But, the fact of the matter is that the group of RBs who will be toting the rock for the Redskins don’t figure to be the most inspiring group.
While Adrian Peterson and Samaje Perine could see some playing time, it seems more likely that Rob Kelley, Kapri Bibbs, and De’Veon Smith will be handling a bulk of the carries. And that trio doesn’t seem to be very promising.
Kelley has averaged 2.2 yards per carry for the preseason. He has had his moments and put forth a couple of nice bursts, but generally, he has been stuffed close to the line of scrimmage.
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Bibbs has averaged a whopping 8.6 yards per carry this preseason, but his average is 4.4 excluding one long carry. Bibbs is better served as a receiver out of the backfield, so in an expanded role, that he seems likely to see in this contest, he may not do as much between the tackles. If any of the high-volume backs for this contest were able to break the 3.5-yard mark, it would be Bibbs.
Meanwhile, Smith is a player who I like, but he hasn’t seen much action at all yet. So, it’s hard to know exactly what to expect from him.
Overall, this could be a bust game from the RBs, especially if the backup offensive line continues to have issues blocking, which seems more like a probability at this point than a possibility. But at the same time, all backs averaging 3.5 yards per carry or less is still a very bold prediction, and it seems unlikely to happen, as one long run can skew an average.