If you were to evaluate Mason Rudolph‘s numbers in a vacuum, you may identify him as the most talented quarterbacks in the class. Rudolph has been a very good starter for Oklahoma State during his college career, throwing for over 13,000 yards, 92 touchdowns, and just 26 picks during his four years with the team. He helped lead the squad to many successful seasons and has potential at the NFL level.
That said, there’s a reason that players aren’t evaluated in a vacuum. Context is important to evaluating players, and it’s worth noting that Rudolph’s production came in Oklahoma State’s spread offense. This system can inflate production a lot, so a deeper dive into Rudolph’s tool bag was bound to reveal a couple of flaws.
Upon watching Rudolph play, it’s clear that his arm is about average and he struggles at times to get the ball where he wants it. Rudolph also didn’t have to fit the ball into tight windows frequently because the spread offense was more about locating a wide open receiver. As a result, Rudolph will have to work on fitting balls into windows at the NFL level, improving his anticipation, and upgrading his ability to read the field. All are doable, but it may take time for him to develop.
Rudolph is likely going to be an early second round pick. There’s a chance that he could sneak into the end of the first round if a team desperate for a quarterback moves up for him, but he has the makings of a second round pick. He’s going to be a good backup at the very least and with a year of development, he could be ready to be a starter at the NFL level.
If the Redskins wanted to get a second round quarterback, Rudolph would make sense. At the same time, they would be better off getting one of later round players if they are looking at it from a pure value standpoint.