Pittsburgh Panthers quarterback Tom Savage (7). Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Are NFL GM's in danger of outsmarting themselves?

I keep hearing reports of certain players moving up NFL Draft boards and sliding down boards.  Reports of highly rated players like Teddy Bridgewater performing badly in workouts and lower rated players like Pitt’s Tom Savage performing well.  Some of this is just misinformation designed to manipulate the draft, and some of it is actual opinion.

For instance, take the Cleveland Browns.  Do they really believe that Derek Carr is better than Johnny Manziel like the reports suggest they do?  Or is this just a smoke screen, blown out into the media to make people think they don’t like Manziel in order to ensure he’s on the board when they make their pick at number 4?

I would like to think it’s the latter.  Carr is a good prospect, and would probably do a decent job for the Browns.  But Manziel has the kind of star quality and play making ability that the Browns have lacked at quarterback for eons.  They couldn’t possibly pass him up if he’s on the board at number 4 could they?

You never know.  And then there’s the reports of teams not liking Jadeveon Clowney because they think he’s lazy.  Have they seen this guy play?  His half speed is better than most players full speed.  And even if he’s not everything the hype suggest he is, Clowney will still end up being better than most.

Maybe it’s just too easy, and these personnel experts have to find a way to make it hard.  I mean, does a few supposed bad workouts from Teddy Bridgewater really outweigh what you see on tape?  Did his outstanding play just simply not happen?  And after a few good workouts, is Pitt’s Tom Savage really being considered a first round pick?

It boggles the mind.  Let’s play a game of trading places.  If Tom Savage were the quarterback at Texas A&M, would they have had the same success as they did with Johnny Manziel?  I doubt it.  And how about Manziel at Pitt?  You see the point I’m making?  A&M was a mediocre team with Ryan Tannehill at QB the year before Manziel took over.

And some NFL personnel people will say, but that was college, and this is the NFL.  OK.   I’d wager some of these GM’s would have drafted Tom Savage over Russell Wilson too.  I happen to think Savage is a good prospect.  Not a first or second rounder, but still with nice potential.

But are NFL General managers really that smart, or are simply outsmarting themselves?  And I know, some of these people have forgotten more about football than I’ll ever know.  But sometimes it doesn’t seem that way.


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