Much has been made of the fact the Redskins have yet to face a team which had a single victory coming into its game with the Skins. If you discount week 1, the Skins have faced teams they clearly should have beaten. Yet, here we are in week 6, and the Skins’ record is 2 – 3. As fate would have it, they’re playing another winless team.
The soft part of the Redskins’ schedule is over after this week, except for their Dec. 13 visit to the Raiders. So, the Skins had better win if they want to have any real chance of posting a winning record. Given their situation, I decided to look into my statistical crystal ball. What I saw tells me the Redskins should definitely win this game. Here’s the skinny …
The Kansas Chiefs have played well enough to win 2 of their 3 home games, despite their 0 – 5 record. When they’ve played on the road however, they’ve lost by 14 to the Ravens and 20 to the Kevin Kolb led Eagles. The Redskins have won both of their home games, though they’ve done so by margins of 2 (Rams) and 3 (Bucs) points. Advantage- Redskins.
Before I break down the offenses and defenses, I’ll address the biggest separator. The Chiefs are without their starting left tackle, Branden Albert. One of their starting safeties, Jarred Page, is nursing a sore shoulder which kept him out of practice until Friday. The Redskins wish they were that healthy. Chris Samuels and Hunter Smith are out. Cornelius Griffin, Phillip Daniels, Chad Rinehart, and Anthony Montgomery are all questionable. Clinton Portis and Albert Haynesworth are both probable. Advantage – Chiefs.
Jason Campbell has completed 66.7% of his passes, and has thrown 6 touchdowns to 5 interceptions. Matt Cassell has completed 58.5% of his passes, and has a touchdown-interception ratio of 7 to 2. Turnovers are huge. Advantage – Chiefs.
Clinton Portis is averaging 3.7 yards per carry and has not turned the ball over. Larry Johnson is averaging 2.4 yards per carry and has lost 2 fumbles. Advantage – Redskins.
Santana Moss has caught 21 passes while averaging 16 yards per catch. Dwayne Bowe has caught 15 passes while averaging 12.1 yards per catch. Advantage – Redskins.
Chris Cooley has caught 22 passes, averaging 11.5 yards per catch. Sean Ryan has caught 13 passes, averaging 9.4 yards per catch. Advantage – Redskins.
On offense, the Redskins have scored an average of 14.6 points-per-game, while the Chiefs have scored 16.8. The Skins have: given up 14 sacks to the Chiefs’ 17, been penalized 26 times to the Chiefs’ 36, lost 4 fumbles to the Chiefs’ 2, and compiled 300 yards-per-game to the Chiefs’ 258. I’m calling this a draw.
On defense, the Redskins have given up an average of 16.4 points-per-game, while the Chiefs have given up 27.6. The Skins have: yielded 291 yards-per-game to the Chiefs’ 403, sacked the quarterback 10 times to the Chiefs’ 6, intercepted 5 passes to the Chiefs’ 2, and yielded a pass completion percentage of 61% to the Chiefs’ 56%. Both teams have recovered 4 fumbles. Advantage – Redskins.
Not that it matters, but the Chiefs have never opened a season with 6 losses in their storied history. In other words, losing to the Redskins would amount to an all-time low for them. I have family in Kansas City, just as I have family north of Detroit. It wasn’t fun watching the Skins lose to the Lions, and it certainly wouldn’t be fun seeing them lose to the Chiefs. My crystal ball tells me I’ll enjoy this game more than I did the Lions’ game. I had better, because the Eagles are next.
Washington 20, Kansas City 17. Go Skins!